BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 31 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 119.78
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 107.29 13 44 1A 73 ( 5- 7) Arizona St -12.94 -18.06
2 09/10/2016 Away L 109.83 20 34 1B 22 ( 6- 5) Western Illinois -10.40 -3.60
3 09/17/2016 Home W 124.68 73 3 2 160 ( 0- 11) New Mexico Highlands 4.45 * 65.55
4 09/24/2016 Home L * 123.19 35 50 1B 2 ( 12- 2) Eastern Washington 2.96 -17.96
5 10/01/2016 Away L * 112.92 18 21 1B 44 ( 6- 5) Northern Colorado -7.31 4.31
6 10/08/2016 Away W * 123.94 20 14 1B 47 ( 4- 7) Montana St 3.71 2.29
7 10/15/2016 Home W * 145.59 52 7 1B 87 ( 2- 9) Idaho St 25.36 19.64
8 10/22/2016 Home W * 135.35 45 34 1B 17 ( 6- 5) Montana 15.12 -4.12
9 11/05/2016 Away W * 128.67 33 20 1B 46 ( 7- 5) Weber St 8.45 4.55
10 11/12/2016 Away L * 117.73 31 38 1B 19 ( 9- 3) North Dakota -2.50 -4.50
11 11/19/2016 Home L * 93.33 21 48 1B 24 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah -26.90 -0.10
Averages 120.23 32.8 28.5
Best game: 145.59 = 45 point win over Idaho St
Worst game: 93.33 = 27 point loss to Southern Utah
Team stdev: 14.30